Next General Election Forecast If 1% Vote Climate

VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election indicates that if VoteClimate can recruit 1% of the electorate in marginal seats, there are 106 seats where we can change which party wins.

1% of the electorate in 106 seats is just 79,000 voters!

We have a huge and historic opportunity to force a race to the top on climate policy

We've flagged those constituencies as "VC Target" in the projection below.

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 25.4% | Reform: 23.3% | Conservative: 19.9% | Green: 11.7% | Liberal Democrat: 10.4%

[Last updated: September 2026]

NB: these constituencies will likely change as the opinion polls fluctuate.

Here is the predicted result in each constituency:

Constituency Winner Second Votes Required
1 North East Derbyshire - VC Target Conservative 13,455 Labour 13,452 3 0.00%
2 Monmouthshire - VC Target Plaid Cymru 13,021 Reform 13,016 5 0.01%
3 Bradford East - VC Target Labour 10,247 Other 10,235 12 0.02%
4 Southend West and Leigh - VC Target Reform 12,708 Labour 12,683 25 0.03%
5 Leigh and Atherton - VC Target Labour 15,131 Reform 15,100 31 0.04%
6 Clwyd East - VC Target Plaid Cymru 14,339 Reform 14,309 30 0.04%
7 Vale of Glamorgan - VC Target Plaid Cymru 13,415 Reform 13,383 32 0.04%
8 Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North - VC Target Reform 9,128 Other 9,089 39 0.05%
9 Stourbridge - VC Target Reform 11,683 Labour 11,643 40 0.06%
10 Bassetlaw - VC Target Reform 14,112 Labour 14,062 50 0.06%
11 Carlisle - VC Target Labour 13,785 Reform 13,723 62 0.08%
12 North East Hertfordshire - VC Target Labour 13,963 Conservative 13,887 76 0.10%
13 Newton Abbot - VC Target Reform 12,761 Liberal Democrat 12,686 75 0.10%
14 Wolverhampton North East - VC Target Reform 10,961 Labour 10,858 103 0.15%
15 South Derbyshire - VC Target Labour 13,463 Reform 13,352 111 0.15%
16 Mid Derbyshire - VC Target Labour 13,155 Conservative 13,032 123 0.18%
17 Old Bexley and Sidcup - VC Target Conservative 14,948 Reform 14,818 130 0.18%
18 Rossendale and Darwen - VC Target Reform 13,981 Labour 13,839 142 0.19%
19 Preston - VC Target Labour 10,242 Other 10,091 151 0.20%
20 Birmingham Erdington - VC Target Labour 11,037 Reform 10,880 157 0.20%
21 Bolsover - VC Target Reform 13,136 Labour 12,976 160 0.21%
22 Scunthorpe - VC Target Reform 11,916 Labour 11,757 159 0.22%
23 East Londonderry - VC Target DUP 11,506 Sinn Fein 11,327 179 0.24%
24 Aberafan Maesteg - VC Target Plaid Cymru 12,608 Reform 12,434 174 0.24%
25 Birmingham Northfield - VC Target Reform 11,442 Labour 11,263 179 0.24%
26 Stockton North - VC Target Labour 12,999 Reform 12,824 175 0.25%
27 Broadland and Fakenham - VC Target Conservative 13,725 Reform 13,524 201 0.26%
28 Hereford and South Herefordshire - VC Target Reform 12,643 Conservative 12,452 191 0.26%
29 Suffolk Coastal - VC Target Reform 12,468 Conservative 12,268 200 0.27%
30 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine - VC Target Conservative 13,509 SNP 13,310 199 0.27%
31 Bracknell - VC Target Conservative 11,820 Reform 11,611 209 0.29%
32 Wellingborough and Rushden - VC Target Reform 13,662 Labour 13,435 227 0.29%
33 Pendle and Clitheroe - VC Target Conservative 12,772 Reform 12,539 233 0.30%
34 Erewash - VC Target Reform 13,277 Labour 13,053 224 0.31%
35 South Leicestershire - VC Target Conservative 15,255 Reform 15,005 250 0.32%
36 Reading West and Mid Berkshire - VC Target Conservative 12,641 Labour 12,416 225 0.33%
37 Telford - VC Target Reform 14,050 Labour 13,799 251 0.34%
38 East Thanet - VC Target Labour 12,798 Reform 12,538 260 0.35%
39 South Holland and The Deepings - VC Target Reform 14,493 Conservative 14,180 313 0.40%
40 Poole - VC Target Conservative 11,917 Reform 11,624 293 0.40%
41 Hartlepool - VC Target Labour 12,463 Reform 12,174 289 0.40%
42 Barnsley North - VC Target Reform 14,295 Labour 13,978 317 0.40%
43 Mid Norfolk - VC Target Conservative 14,024 Reform 13,713 311 0.41%
44 Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr - VC Target Plaid Cymru 14,233 Reform 13,920 313 0.42%
45 Grantham and Bourne - VC Target Conservative 13,848 Reform 13,527 321 0.44%
46 South Suffolk - VC Target Reform 13,735 Conservative 13,395 340 0.46%
47 Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard - VC Target Reform 12,461 Conservative 12,087 374 0.49%
48 Gainsborough - VC Target Reform 14,290 Conservative 13,918 372 0.49%
49 Ossett and Denby Dale - VC Target Reform 13,419 Labour 13,061 358 0.50%
50 Blyth and Ashington - VC Target Labour 15,190 Reform 14,804 386 0.50%
51 Plymouth Moor View - VC Target Reform 13,836 Labour 13,434 402 0.54%
52 Bolton West - VC Target Labour 13,123 Reform 12,717 406 0.54%
53 Kettering - VC Target Labour 13,471 Reform 13,030 441 0.56%
54 Bolton South and Walkden - VC Target Reform 11,553 Labour 11,106 447 0.56%
55 Broxbourne - VC Target Conservative 13,226 Reform 12,798 428 0.57%
56 Ashton-under-Lyne - VC Target Reform 11,997 Labour 11,591 406 0.57%
57 Bromsgrove - VC Target Reform 14,264 Conservative 13,819 445 0.58%
58 Scarborough and Whitby - VC Target Reform 13,911 Labour 13,473 438 0.59%
59 Torridge and Tavistock - VC Target Reform 13,832 Conservative 13,388 444 0.59%
60 Clwyd North - VC Target Reform 12,746 Plaid Cymru 12,298 448 0.60%
61 Crawley - VC Target Labour 13,169 Reform 12,716 453 0.60%
62 Gravesham - VC Target Reform 13,070 Labour 12,630 440 0.60%
63 Northampton South - VC Target Labour 12,851 Reform 12,423 428 0.61%
64 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich - VC Target Reform 12,911 Conservative 12,460 451 0.62%
65 Harwich and North Essex - VC Target Reform 14,330 Conservative 13,854 476 0.62%
66 Rawmarsh and Conisbrough - VC Target Reform 12,968 Labour 12,531 437 0.63%
67 Bishop Auckland - VC Target Reform 13,364 Labour 12,913 451 0.64%
68 South Dorset - VC Target Reform 12,831 Conservative 12,345 486 0.64%
69 Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe - VC Target Reform 12,318 Plaid Cymru 11,849 469 0.64%
70 Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket - VC Target Reform 13,240 Conservative 12,731 509 0.65%
71 Exmouth and Exeter East - VC Target Conservative 12,436 Reform 11,915 521 0.65%
72 Aldridge-Brownhills - VC Target Reform 13,703 Conservative 13,241 462 0.66%
73 Sleaford and North Hykeham - VC Target Reform 14,838 Conservative 14,320 518 0.68%
74 Godalming and Ash - VC Target Conservative 19,575 Liberal Democrat 19,054 521 0.69%
75 Hamilton and Clyde Valley - VC Target SNP 13,525 Labour 12,986 539 0.71%
76 Sussex Weald - VC Target Conservative 13,790 Reform 13,267 523 0.72%
77 North West Cambridgeshire - VC Target Reform 12,926 Conservative 12,376 550 0.72%
78 Rother Valley - VC Target Conservative 12,764 Labour 12,252 512 0.74%
79 Fylde - VC Target Conservative 13,276 Reform 12,703 573 0.74%
80 Ely and East Cambridgeshire - VC Target Liberal Democrat 14,552 Conservative 13,963 589 0.74%
81 Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor - VC Target Labour 13,973 Reform 13,433 540 0.75%
82 Bournemouth West - VC Target Labour 10,921 Reform 10,395 526 0.75%
83 Buckingham and Bletchley - VC Target Labour 13,449 Conservative 12,886 563 0.75%
84 Dagenham and Rainham - VC Target Reform 12,963 Labour 12,377 586 0.77%
85 Darlington - VC Target Labour 12,707 Conservative 12,165 542 0.77%
86 Lichfield - VC Target Reform 14,448 Conservative 13,864 584 0.77%
87 South Shields - VC Target Reform 11,667 Labour 11,131 536 0.78%
88 Wrexham - VC Target Plaid Cymru 12,968 Reform 12,412 556 0.79%
89 Daventry - VC Target Reform 15,587 Conservative 14,946 641 0.79%
90 Newcastle-under-Lyme - VC Target Reform 12,690 Labour 12,140 550 0.81%
91 North West Norfolk - VC Target Conservative 13,458 Reform 12,845 613 0.82%
92 Stoke-on-Trent Central - VC Target Reform 11,782 Labour 11,170 612 0.83%
93 Chipping Barnet - VC Target Labour 16,788 Conservative 16,134 654 0.84%
94 Beverley and Holderness - VC Target Conservative 13,094 Reform 12,490 604 0.84%
95 Weston-super-Mare - VC Target Labour 12,414 Reform 11,801 613 0.86%
96 Bristol South - VC Target Labour 13,754 Green 13,088 666 0.88%
97 Pontypridd - VC Target Plaid Cymru 13,251 Reform 12,577 674 0.89%
98 Birmingham Ladywood - VC Target Other 12,137 Labour 11,394 743 0.89%
99 Blackpool South - VC Target Reform 13,474 Labour 12,779 695 0.90%
100 West Suffolk - VC Target Reform 13,844 Conservative 13,136 708 0.92%
101 Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare - VC Target Reform 12,797 Plaid Cymru 12,103 694 0.93%
102 Aylesbury - VC Target Conservative 12,234 Labour 11,492 742 0.94%
103 North East Hampshire - VC Target Liberal Democrat 17,933 Conservative 17,189 744 0.97%
104 Herne Bay and Sandwich - VC Target Reform 15,120 Conservative 14,366 754 0.97%
105 Gower - VC Target Reform 15,119 Plaid Cymru 14,368 751 0.99%
106 Southend East and Rochford - VC Target Labour 11,684 Reform 10,983 701 1.00%
107 South West Devon Conservative 15,042 Reform 14,262 780 1.01%
108 Ribble Valley Conservative 14,685 Labour 13,871 814 1.01%
109 South Shropshire Conservative 14,652 Reform 13,873 779 1.02%
110 Redditch Reform 12,529 Conservative 11,782 747 1.05%
111 Ilford South Labour 12,242 Other 11,385 857 1.06%
112 Swansea West Plaid Cymru 11,666 Reform 10,869 797 1.07%
113 Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme Reform 12,275 Labour 11,498 777 1.11%
114 Gloucester Labour 12,518 Reform 11,633 885 1.11%
115 Christchurch Conservative 13,972 Reform 13,179 793 1.12%
116 Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative 13,447 Reform 12,656 791 1.12%
117 Warrington North Labour 14,215 Reform 13,423 792 1.12%
118 Spelthorne Reform 12,593 Conservative 11,765 828 1.12%
119 Forest of Dean Conservative 13,502 Reform 12,682 820 1.13%
120 Oldham East and Saddleworth Reform 11,257 Labour 10,415 842 1.15%
121 Wigan Labour 14,545 Reform 13,654 891 1.15%
122 Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour 14,241 Reform 13,427 814 1.16%
123 Halifax Reform 11,342 Labour 10,444 898 1.16%
124 North East Cambridgeshire Conservative 13,373 Reform 12,541 832 1.16%
125 Halesowen Reform 12,176 Labour 11,378 798 1.16%
126 The Wrekin Reform 14,589 Conservative 13,653 936 1.19%
127 Leicester East Conservative 11,917 Other 11,005 912 1.19%
128 Uxbridge and South Ruislip Conservative 13,512 Labour 12,608 904 1.21%
129 North West Leicestershire Reform 14,215 Conservative 13,270 945 1.22%
130 Penistone and Stocksbridge Labour 14,614 Reform 13,747 867 1.23%
131 Maldon Reform 16,935 Conservative 15,971 964 1.23%
132 Fareham and Waterlooville Conservative 14,688 Reform 13,737 951 1.24%
133 Bridgend Reform 13,159 Plaid Cymru 12,253 906 1.24%
134 South Norfolk Labour 13,182 Conservative 12,260 922 1.25%
135 Farnham and Bordon Conservative 15,882 Liberal Democrat 14,930 952 1.25%
136 East Hampshire Conservative 15,411 Liberal Democrat 14,523 888 1.26%
137 Romford Reform 13,715 Conservative 12,792 923 1.27%
138 Gillingham and Rainham Reform 12,692 Labour 11,760 932 1.27%
139 Mid Bedfordshire Conservative 14,187 Reform 13,228 959 1.27%
140 Earley and Woodley Conservative 16,720 Labour 15,785 935 1.27%
141 Easington Reform 13,469 Labour 12,581 888 1.28%
142 Hinckley and Bosworth Conservative 14,205 Reform 13,221 984 1.29%
143 Hemel Hempstead Labour 12,852 Reform 11,934 918 1.29%
144 South West Wiltshire Conservative 13,096 Reform 12,143 953 1.30%
145 Portsmouth North Reform 12,480 Conservative 11,558 922 1.31%
146 Kensington and Bayswater Labour 13,176 Conservative 12,143 1,033 1.34%
147 Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice Labour 13,613 Reform 12,634 979 1.34%
148 Mid and South Pembrokeshire Reform 14,226 Plaid Cymru 13,137 1,089 1.38%
149 Cities of London and Westminster Labour 11,825 Conservative 10,813 1,012 1.38%
150 Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley Reform 13,914 Labour 12,881 1,033 1.38%
151 Peterborough Conservative 11,064 Labour 10,047 1,017 1.39%
152 North Antrim Other 12,229 DUP 11,192 1,037 1.39%
153 Washington and Gateshead South Reform 14,298 Labour 13,301 997 1.40%
154 Stalybridge and Hyde Labour 12,265 Reform 11,244 1,021 1.41%
155 Normanton and Hemsworth Reform 14,077 Labour 12,994 1,083 1.43%
156 Thurrock Reform 13,136 Labour 12,085 1,051 1.43%
157 Witham Conservative 15,650 Reform 14,495 1,155 1.46%
158 Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative 15,126 Reform 14,077 1,049 1.46%
159 North Somerset Conservative 15,837 Labour 14,747 1,090 1.46%
160 Derby South Reform 11,761 Labour 10,687 1,074 1.47%
161 Redcar Labour 12,000 Reform 10,960 1,040 1.48%
162 Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP 12,186 Labour 11,101 1,085 1.50%
163 Stafford Labour 14,107 Reform 13,033 1,074 1.52%
164 Wakefield and Rothwell Labour 13,458 Reform 12,299 1,159 1.54%
165 Mansfield Reform 13,323 Labour 12,150 1,173 1.57%
166 North Dorset Conservative 15,084 Liberal Democrat 13,933 1,151 1.58%
167 Camborne and Redruth Labour 14,713 Reform 13,522 1,191 1.60%
168 Meriden and Solihull East Conservative 14,022 Reform 12,839 1,183 1.61%
169 Rhondda and Ogmore Reform 13,996 Plaid Cymru 12,782 1,214 1.63%
170 Bolton North East Reform 13,320 Labour 12,015 1,305 1.63%
171 Banbury Labour 14,167 Conservative 12,965 1,202 1.64%
172 Bexhill and Battle Conservative 13,442 Reform 12,255 1,187 1.64%
173 Heywood and Middleton North Reform 13,143 Labour 11,936 1,207 1.65%
174 Derbyshire Dales Conservative 14,756 Labour 13,549 1,207 1.65%
175 Bristol East Green 18,433 Labour 17,166 1,267 1.67%
176 Harlow Reform 13,603 Labour 12,350 1,253 1.68%
177 Houghton and Sunderland South Reform 15,522 Labour 14,204 1,318 1.68%
178 Hexham Labour 21,060 Conservative 19,775 1,285 1.68%
179 North Northumberland Labour 13,546 Reform 12,286 1,260 1.70%
180 Blackpool North and Fleetwood Reform 13,951 Labour 12,694 1,257 1.72%
181 Walsall and Bloxwich Reform 10,392 Labour 9,101 1,291 1.72%
182 Congleton Labour 14,354 Conservative 13,086 1,268 1.74%
183 Isle of Wight West Labour 10,091 Reform 9,118 973 1.76%
184 Braintree Reform 15,824 Conservative 14,441 1,383 1.78%
185 East Antrim DUP 11,462 Alliance 10,156 1,306 1.78%
186 Brigg and Immingham Reform 14,543 Conservative 13,239 1,304 1.78%
187 Hendon Conservative 13,593 Labour 12,246 1,347 1.80%
188 Stoke-on-Trent North Reform 12,263 Labour 10,999 1,264 1.81%
189 Sevenoaks Conservative 15,179 Reform 13,843 1,336 1.81%
190 Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton Other 11,299 Reform 9,918 1,381 1.82%
191 Huddersfield Green 12,542 Labour 11,127 1,415 1.82%
192 Central Devon Conservative 14,221 Reform 12,825 1,396 1.85%
193 Chelsea and Fulham Conservative 15,915 Labour 14,443 1,472 1.88%
194 Stoke-on-Trent South Reform 12,719 Conservative 11,398 1,321 1.89%
195 Melton and Syston Conservative 14,534 Reform 13,116 1,418 1.91%
196 Staffordshire Moorlands Reform 14,129 Conservative 12,794 1,335 1.91%
197 Mid Leicestershire Conservative 14,895 Reform 13,444 1,451 1.91%
198 Leeds South West and Morley Labour 13,434 Reform 12,053 1,381 1.92%
199 Brentwood and Ongar Reform 16,161 Conservative 14,691 1,470 1.95%
200 Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour 13,807 Reform 12,432 1,375 1.97%
201 Southport Labour 13,169 Reform 11,718 1,451 1.97%
202 Luton South and South Bedfordshire Labour 10,023 Other 8,494 1,529 1.98%
203 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Conservative 15,840 Labour 14,446 1,394 1.98%
204 Dunfermline and Dollar SNP 12,776 Labour 11,331 1,445 1.98%
205 Mid Dorset and North Poole Liberal Democrat 20,336 Conservative 18,828 1,508 2.00%
206 Neath and Swansea East Reform 15,141 Plaid Cymru 13,612 1,529 2.00%
207 Dumfries and Galloway SNP 12,595 Conservative 11,016 1,579 2.01%
208 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 12,147 SNP 10,695 1,452 2.02%
209 Orpington Conservative 14,651 Reform 13,196 1,455 2.04%
210 Nuneaton Reform 12,899 Labour 11,432 1,467 2.04%
211 St Austell and Newquay Reform 13,620 Labour 12,059 1,561 2.05%
212 Welwyn Hatfield Labour 15,319 Conservative 13,767 1,552 2.06%
213 Eastleigh Liberal Democrat 13,503 Conservative 12,050 1,453 2.08%
214 Llanelli Plaid Cymru 16,588 Reform 15,101 1,487 2.08%
215 Dover and Deal Reform 15,805 Labour 14,210 1,595 2.09%
216 Worthing West Labour 15,731 Conservative 14,114 1,617 2.10%
217 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Reform 14,708 Conservative 13,084 1,624 2.11%
218 Newport West and Islwyn Reform 14,060 Plaid Cymru 12,452 1,608 2.12%
219 Burton and Uttoxeter Reform 13,873 Labour 12,207 1,666 2.14%
220 Sherwood Forest Reform 15,934 Labour 14,213 1,721 2.18%
221 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 15,871 Reform 14,174 1,697 2.20%
222 Rutherglen SNP 14,833 Labour 13,229 1,604 2.21%
223 South Ribble Labour 15,214 Reform 13,593 1,621 2.21%
224 Rochdale Other 11,587 Reform 9,982 1,605 2.21%
225 Southampton Itchen Labour 12,015 Reform 10,501 1,514 2.21%
226 Brent West Labour 13,381 Conservative 11,599 1,782 2.23%
227 Louth and Horncastle Reform 15,999 Conservative 14,284 1,715 2.23%
228 Bradford South Reform 10,204 Labour 8,620 1,584 2.23%
229 Spen Valley Reform 13,710 Labour 12,057 1,653 2.28%
230 Airdrie and Shotts SNP 13,261 Labour 11,657 1,604 2.28%
231 Wyre Forest Reform 13,805 Conservative 12,025 1,780 2.30%
232 Romsey and Southampton North Conservative 16,655 Liberal Democrat 14,999 1,656 2.30%
233 East Surrey Conservative 14,533 Reform 12,840 1,693 2.31%
234 Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy SNP 12,096 Labour 10,432 1,664 2.32%
235 East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP 14,636 Labour 12,853 1,783 2.33%
236 Maidstone and Malling Reform 13,547 Conservative 11,747 1,800 2.35%
237 Chingford and Woodford Green Conservative 14,188 Other 12,445 1,743 2.36%
238 Rayleigh and Wickford Reform 16,502 Conservative 14,695 1,807 2.36%
239 Doncaster Central Labour 13,315 Reform 11,545 1,770 2.37%
240 Dartford Reform 13,698 Conservative 11,883 1,815 2.41%
241 Stevenage Labour 13,510 Reform 11,792 1,718 2.42%
242 Altrincham and Sale West Labour 16,067 Conservative 14,267 1,800 2.43%
243 Sunderland Central Reform 14,510 Labour 12,628 1,882 2.47%
244 Faversham and Mid Kent Reform 14,123 Conservative 12,286 1,837 2.47%
245 Wolverhampton South East Labour 12,794 Reform 10,875 1,919 2.48%
246 East Wiltshire Conservative 14,177 Reform 12,322 1,855 2.50%
247 Cardiff East Plaid Cymru 11,939 Reform 10,110 1,829 2.51%
248 Weald of Kent Conservative 16,726 Reform 14,790 1,936 2.55%
249 Gordon and Buchan SNP 13,488 Conservative 11,699 1,789 2.57%
250 Swindon North Labour 13,715 Reform 11,832 1,883 2.57%
251 Central Ayrshire SNP 11,931 Labour 10,146 1,785 2.57%
252 Hyndburn Reform 10,822 Labour 9,074 1,748 2.60%
253 Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Labour 12,315 Reform 10,337 1,978 2.63%
254 Bridlington and The Wolds Reform 14,263 Conservative 12,298 1,965 2.64%
255 Burnley Reform 11,499 Labour 9,520 1,979 2.64%
256 Rugby Labour 14,948 Reform 12,967 1,981 2.64%
257 Newport East Reform 12,577 Plaid Cymru 10,543 2,034 2.65%
258 Worsley and Eccles Labour 15,355 Reform 13,250 2,105 2.68%
259 Finchley and Golders Green Labour 17,103 Conservative 15,019 2,084 2.69%
260 Broxtowe Labour 14,844 Reform 12,938 1,906 2.71%
261 Isle of Wight East Reform 9,929 Conservative 8,415 1,514 2.71%
262 New Forest West Conservative 13,721 Reform 11,852 1,869 2.72%
263 Loughborough Labour 13,173 Reform 11,275 1,898 2.75%
264 Goole and Pocklington Conservative 15,973 Reform 13,757 2,216 2.77%
265 Cardiff South and Penarth Plaid Cymru 11,788 Reform 9,758 2,030 2.78%
266 East Renfrewshire SNP 14,457 Labour 12,378 2,079 2.79%
267 Blaydon and Consett Labour 16,101 Reform 14,136 1,965 2.79%
268 Rotherham Reform 14,347 Labour 12,230 2,117 2.79%
269 Aldershot Labour 15,154 Reform 12,936 2,218 2.82%
270 Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour 12,519 Reform 10,414 2,105 2.85%
271 Hertford and Stortford Labour 15,861 Conservative 13,601 2,260 2.86%
272 South East Cornwall Reform 13,991 Labour 11,878 2,113 2.91%
273 Tipton and Wednesbury Reform 10,941 Labour 8,776 2,165 2.92%
274 Skipton and Ripon Conservative 15,849 Reform 13,531 2,318 2.92%
275 North Durham Reform 14,540 Labour 12,393 2,147 2.93%
276 Horsham Liberal Democrat 18,340 Conservative 16,014 2,326 2.94%
277 Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke SNP 12,978 Labour 10,860 2,118 2.95%
278 Mid Cheshire Labour 14,084 Reform 11,993 2,091 2.97%
279 Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Labour 9,182 Other 6,892 2,290 2.98%
280 Melksham and Devizes Liberal Democrat 16,899 Conservative 14,697 2,202 3.00%
281 Bradford West Labour 8,180 Reform 5,842 2,338 3.00%
282 Solihull West and Shirley Conservative 13,636 Reform 11,479 2,157 3.00%
283 West Bromwich Labour 12,822 Reform 10,598 2,224 3.00%
284 Bexleyheath and Crayford Reform 14,001 Labour 11,879 2,122 3.02%
285 South Northamptonshire Conservative 16,068 Reform 13,941 2,127 3.02%
286 Newbury Liberal Democrat 16,566 Conservative 14,388 2,178 3.03%
287 Kingston upon Hull East Reform 11,908 Labour 9,756 2,152 3.05%
288 Lothian East Labour 13,463 SNP 11,150 2,313 3.07%
289 Huntingdon Conservative 15,402 Reform 12,944 2,458 3.11%
290 Midlothian SNP 15,357 Labour 13,070 2,287 3.11%
291 North West Hampshire Conservative 14,984 Reform 12,515 2,469 3.14%
292 Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour 16,098 Reform 13,588 2,510 3.19%
293 Rochester and Strood Reform 13,967 Labour 11,587 2,380 3.21%
294 Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes Reform 14,021 Labour 11,537 2,484 3.26%
295 North Norfolk Liberal Democrat 16,428 Conservative 14,080 2,348 3.29%
296 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour 14,089 Reform 11,563 2,526 3.29%
297 Luton North Labour 10,904 Other 8,405 2,499 3.34%
298 Lincoln Labour 14,071 Reform 11,652 2,419 3.35%
299 Bridgwater Reform 12,620 Conservative 10,223 2,397 3.35%
300 Morecambe and Lunesdale Labour 15,064 Reform 12,502 2,562 3.35%
301 Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire Liberal Democrat 16,956 SNP 14,328 2,628 3.37%
302 Torfaen Reform 12,644 Plaid Cymru 10,220 2,424 3.38%
303 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 13,999 Labour 11,349 2,650 3.38%
304 Birmingham Yardley Other 10,582 Labour 8,106 2,476 3.38%
305 Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Labour 14,048 Reform 11,483 2,565 3.41%
306 Droitwich and Evesham Conservative 16,577 Reform 13,963 2,614 3.41%
307 Wycombe Labour 12,126 Conservative 9,615 2,511 3.42%
308 Thornbury and Yate Liberal Democrat 17,546 Conservative 14,826 2,720 3.48%
309 Tatton Conservative 17,111 Labour 14,525 2,586 3.48%
310 Thirsk and Malton Conservative 16,293 Reform 13,539 2,754 3.51%
311 Barnsley South Reform 14,871 Labour 12,205 2,666 3.51%
312 South West Hertfordshire Conservative 13,780 Reform 11,231 2,549 3.55%
313 Alloa and Grangemouth SNP 12,504 Labour 9,984 2,520 3.57%
314 Penrith and Solway Labour 15,383 Conservative 12,595 2,788 3.58%
315 Colne Valley Labour 14,491 Conservative 11,887 2,604 3.58%
316 Glasgow West SNP 12,844 Labour 10,362 2,482 3.60%
317 Lagan Valley Alliance 18,618 DUP 15,659 2,959 3.60%
318 North Cotswolds Conservative 14,570 Liberal Democrat 11,906 2,664 3.64%
319 Hastings and Rye Labour 14,464 Reform 11,694 2,770 3.65%
320 Watford Labour 11,983 Conservative 9,310 2,673 3.66%
321 Edinburgh South West SNP 12,950 Labour 10,244 2,706 3.67%
322 Belfast East DUP 19,894 Alliance 17,218 2,676 3.67%
323 North East Somerset and Hanham Labour 15,911 Conservative 13,142 2,769 3.75%
324 Na h-Eileanan an Iar Labour 4,202 SNP 3,400 802 3.76%
325 Northampton North Labour 13,835 Reform 10,978 2,857 3.78%
326 Sutton Coldfield Conservative 15,624 Reform 12,808 2,816 3.80%
327 Keighley and Ilkley Conservative 15,856 Labour 13,024 2,832 3.81%
328 Cardiff North Plaid Cymru 15,397 Reform 12,652 2,745 3.84%
329 New Forest East Conservative 14,455 Reform 11,742 2,713 3.84%
330 Derby North Labour 14,216 Reform 11,448 2,768 3.85%
331 Makerfield Reform 16,569 Labour 13,611 2,958 3.86%
332 Gosport Conservative 14,951 Reform 12,122 2,829 3.86%
333 Slough Other 13,870 Labour 10,706 3,164 3.89%
334 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 14,806 SNP 11,821 2,985 3.91%
335 Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP 13,385 Labour 10,642 2,743 3.91%
336 Leeds Central and Headingley Labour 11,971 Green 9,204 2,767 3.92%
337 Selby Labour 17,474 Reform 14,412 3,062 3.92%
338 Chesterfield Labour 14,749 Reform 11,931 2,818 3.93%
339 Ashford Reform 14,394 Labour 11,373 3,021 3.96%
340 Barrow and Furness Labour 14,290 Conservative 11,316 2,974 3.97%
341 Leeds East Labour 14,108 Reform 11,082 3,026 3.97%
342 Manchester Rusholme Labour 11,241 Green 8,354 2,887 3.98%
343 Glasgow North East SNP 11,561 Labour 8,670 2,891 3.98%
344 Torbay Liberal Democrat 15,804 Reform 12,766 3,038 3.99%
345 Coventry North West Labour 15,006 Reform 12,003 3,003 4.00%
346 Maidenhead Liberal Democrat 20,829 Conservative 17,796 3,033 4.01%
347 Leicester West Labour 11,988 Reform 9,004 2,984 4.03%
348 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 13,875 Labour 10,978 2,897 4.05%
349 Cramlington and Killingworth Labour 17,025 Reform 13,909 3,116 4.09%
350 Coatbridge and Bellshill SNP 13,897 Labour 10,923 2,974 4.09%
351 Hamble Valley Conservative 16,445 Reform 13,182 3,263 4.11%
352 Worcester Labour 14,167 Reform 11,070 3,097 4.13%
353 St Helens North Labour 16,180 Reform 13,044 3,136 4.15%
354 Bury North Labour 14,999 Reform 11,764 3,235 4.16%
355 Havant Reform 13,832 Conservative 10,782 3,050 4.22%
356 Milton Keynes North Labour 14,868 Conservative 11,876 2,992 4.23%
357 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 11,217 Reform 8,225 2,992 4.25%
358 Tiverton and Minehead Liberal Democrat 15,359 Conservative 12,272 3,087 4.28%
359 Bournemouth East Labour 14,015 Conservative 10,913 3,102 4.29%
360 Epsom and Ewell Liberal Democrat 17,607 Conservative 14,296 3,311 4.33%
361 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 14,054 Labour 10,962 3,092 4.35%
362 Norwich North Labour 15,820 Reform 12,607 3,213 4.36%
363 Colchester Labour 14,464 Reform 11,029 3,435 4.37%
364 Castle Point Reform 15,790 Conservative 12,679 3,111 4.38%
365 Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative 15,754 Labour 12,369 3,385 4.39%
366 Blackley and Middleton South Labour 12,843 Reform 9,657 3,186 4.41%
367 Ipswich Labour 14,596 Reform 11,260 3,336 4.42%
368 Sheffield Central Labour 13,911 Green 11,220 2,691 4.44%
369 North West Essex Conservative 16,346 Reform 12,780 3,566 4.47%
370 Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP 14,410 Conservative 10,953 3,457 4.48%
371 North Bedfordshire Conservative 16,824 Reform 13,284 3,540 4.49%
372 Feltham and Heston Labour 12,175 Reform 8,708 3,467 4.50%
373 West Worcestershire Conservative 16,390 Reform 12,805 3,585 4.52%
374 Lowestoft Reform 14,196 Labour 10,824 3,372 4.54%
375 Barking Labour 12,063 Reform 8,415 3,648 4.57%
376 Tamworth Reform 15,132 Conservative 11,661 3,471 4.62%
377 Frome and East Somerset Liberal Democrat 13,806 Reform 10,551 3,255 4.63%
378 Aberdeenshire North and Moray East SNP 13,383 Conservative 10,138 3,245 4.63%
379 Croydon South Conservative 16,961 Labour 13,480 3,481 4.65%
380 Sutton and Cheam Liberal Democrat 14,973 Conservative 11,596 3,377 4.67%
381 Chatham and Aylesford Reform 13,743 Labour 10,228 3,515 4.68%
382 City of Durham Labour 14,637 Reform 11,327 3,310 4.69%
383 Ilford North Other 15,119 Labour 11,430 3,689 4.69%
384 Caerphilly Plaid Cymru 15,648 Reform 12,224 3,424 4.71%
385 Stockton West Conservative 17,448 Labour 14,056 3,392 4.72%
386 Reigate Conservative 15,854 Reform 12,199 3,655 4.74%
387 Eltham and Chislehurst Labour 15,352 Reform 11,824 3,528 4.77%
388 Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour 16,002 Reform 12,362 3,640 4.77%
389 Basingstoke Labour 16,096 Conservative 12,340 3,756 4.79%
390 Hazel Grove Liberal Democrat 14,753 Reform 11,255 3,498 4.80%
391 West Dunbartonshire SNP 14,195 Labour 10,870 3,325 4.81%
392 Folkestone and Hythe Reform 14,604 Labour 11,179 3,425 4.89%
393 Coventry East Labour 13,944 Reform 10,238 3,706 4.89%
394 Cannock Chase Reform 15,593 Labour 11,752 3,841 4.99%
395 North Warwickshire and Bedworth Reform 14,562 Labour 11,069 3,493 5.01%
396 Lancaster and Wyre Labour 14,690 Reform 10,946 3,744 5.01%
397 Harrow West Labour 15,341 Conservative 11,336 4,005 5.01%
398 Bury South Labour 14,710 Reform 10,926 3,784 5.02%
399 Canterbury Labour 14,823 Reform 11,235 3,588 5.04%
400 Birmingham Selly Oak Labour 13,103 Reform 9,285 3,818 5.05%
401 Witney Liberal Democrat 17,606 Conservative 13,773 3,833 5.08%
402 Dudley Reform 12,720 Labour 9,110 3,610 5.15%
403 Glasgow North SNP 11,453 Labour 7,965 3,488 5.16%
404 St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 16,409 Conservative 12,375 4,034 5.16%
405 Smethwick Labour 12,702 Reform 8,919 3,783 5.19%
406 Falkirk SNP 13,967 Labour 10,125 3,842 5.22%
407 St Helens South and Whiston Labour 14,261 Reform 10,519 3,742 5.23%
408 Rushcliffe Labour 19,535 Conservative 15,331 4,204 5.31%
409 Southampton Test Labour 12,135 Reform 8,647 3,488 5.32%
410 Bethnal Green and Stepney Other 15,699 Labour 11,362 4,337 5.33%
411 Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Labour 15,127 Green 11,459 3,668 5.33%
412 Glasgow East SNP 12,251 Labour 8,542 3,709 5.38%
413 Chester South and Eddisbury Conservative 16,921 Labour 12,892 4,029 5.42%
414 Chelmsford Liberal Democrat 17,097 Conservative 12,921 4,176 5.43%
415 Croydon East Labour 14,211 Reform 10,051 4,160 5.43%
416 Whitehaven and Workington Labour 17,113 Reform 13,126 3,987 5.45%
417 Newark Conservative 17,734 Reform 13,354 4,380 5.49%
418 Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP 14,710 Labour 10,610 4,100 5.49%
419 Stratford and Bow Labour 14,130 Green 9,648 4,482 5.55%
420 Milton Keynes Central Labour 15,563 Conservative 11,052 4,511 5.56%
421 West Ham and Beckton Labour 12,269 Other 7,830 4,439 5.62%
422 Alyn and Deeside Reform 15,568 Plaid Cymru 11,303 4,265 5.63%
423 Foyle SDLP 15,647 Sinn Fein 11,481 4,166 5.67%
424 Calder Valley Labour 16,899 Reform 12,436 4,463 5.77%
425 Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Labour 15,882 Reform 11,535 4,347 5.77%
426 Wolverhampton West Labour 14,786 Reform 10,246 4,540 5.83%
427 Sittingbourne and Sheppey Reform 14,053 Conservative 9,441 4,612 5.83%
428 Basildon and Billericay Reform 15,182 Conservative 10,669 4,513 5.87%
429 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Fein 24,844 UUP 20,273 4,571 5.87%
430 Bicester and Woodstock Liberal Democrat 16,531 Conservative 12,164 4,367 5.87%
431 Nottingham South Labour 11,849 Reform 8,044 3,805 5.92%
432 Kenilworth and Southam Conservative 16,335 Reform 11,882 4,453 5.94%
433 Bristol North East Labour 14,274 Green 10,080 4,194 5.98%
434 Salisbury Conservative 14,551 Labour 10,184 4,367 6.08%
435 Beaconsfield Conservative 15,484 Liberal Democrat 11,048 4,436 6.10%
436 Amber Valley Reform 16,132 Labour 11,765 4,367 6.10%
437 South Cotswolds Liberal Democrat 19,468 Conservative 15,070 4,398 6.11%
438 Glasgow South West SNP 12,744 Labour 8,522 4,222 6.13%
439 South West Norfolk Reform 13,674 Conservative 9,084 4,590 6.14%
440 Glasgow South SNP 13,922 Labour 9,596 4,326 6.16%
441 Runnymede and Weybridge Conservative 15,521 Reform 10,906 4,615 6.27%
442 Mid Buckinghamshire Conservative 16,882 Liberal Democrat 12,106 4,776 6.32%
443 North Ayrshire and Arran SNP 13,813 Labour 9,235 4,578 6.34%
444 Gedling Labour 17,898 Reform 12,989 4,909 6.37%
445 Chesham and Amersham Liberal Democrat 20,695 Conservative 15,884 4,811 6.42%
446 Shipley Labour 16,653 Reform 11,888 4,765 6.43%
447 Leeds West and Pudsey Labour 14,474 Reform 9,966 4,508 6.43%
448 Warrington South Labour 17,895 Reform 12,802 5,093 6.50%
449 High Peak Labour 17,387 Conservative 12,537 4,850 6.52%
450 Dorking and Horley Liberal Democrat 17,585 Conservative 12,898 4,687 6.54%
451 Hornchurch and Upminster Reform 17,495 Conservative 12,550 4,945 6.56%
452 Hitchin Labour 17,860 Conservative 12,866 4,994 6.58%
453 West Lancashire Labour 17,136 Reform 12,255 4,881 6.59%
454 Birmingham Edgbaston Labour 12,661 Reform 7,878 4,783 6.66%
455 Shrewsbury Labour 17,698 Reform 12,572 5,126 6.69%
456 Birmingham Perry Barr Other 14,265 Labour 9,152 5,113 6.70%
457 Tonbridge Conservative 16,824 Reform 11,940 4,884 6.71%
458 Didcot and Wantage Liberal Democrat 18,490 Conservative 13,044 5,446 6.75%
459 Poplar and Limehouse Labour 13,896 Green 8,212 5,684 6.76%
460 Livingston SNP 15,273 Labour 9,977 5,296 6.79%
461 East Worthing and Shoreham Labour 17,007 Reform 11,929 5,078 6.79%
462 Portsmouth South Labour 14,484 Reform 9,469 5,015 6.80%
463 Surrey Heath Liberal Democrat 18,058 Conservative 13,138 4,920 6.84%
464 Truro and Falmouth Labour 15,987 Reform 10,988 4,999 6.85%
465 Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP 15,067 Labour 10,240 4,827 6.86%
466 Windsor Conservative 13,865 Reform 8,820 5,045 6.88%
467 Strangford DUP 15,559 Alliance 10,428 5,131 6.88%
468 Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative 17,326 Reform 12,152 5,174 6.96%
469 North Devon Liberal Democrat 18,210 Reform 12,698 5,512 6.97%
470 Glastonbury and Somerton Liberal Democrat 16,999 Reform 11,909 5,090 6.97%
471 Edinburgh East and Musselburgh SNP 15,514 Labour 10,200 5,314 6.97%
472 Gorton and Denton Labour 13,967 Reform 8,496 5,471 7.15%
473 Norwich South Labour 16,272 Green 10,741 5,531 7.25%
474 Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP 14,615 Labour 9,457 5,158 7.30%
475 Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour 12,924 Liberal Democrat 7,818 5,106 7.35%
476 Tewkesbury Liberal Democrat 17,444 Conservative 12,031 5,413 7.37%
477 Henley and Thame Liberal Democrat 20,214 Conservative 14,737 5,477 7.43%
478 Sheffield Hallam Labour 20,725 Liberal Democrat 15,309 5,416 7.43%
479 Salford Labour 16,113 Reform 9,811 6,302 7.54%
480 Belfast North Sinn Fein 17,674 DUP 12,062 5,612 7.56%
481 Runcorn and Helsby Labour 17,201 Reform 11,836 5,365 7.58%
482 Birkenhead Labour 16,966 Green 11,047 5,919 7.58%
483 Arundel and South Downs Conservative 18,294 Reform 12,336 5,958 7.64%
484 Exeter Labour 13,853 Reform 8,668 5,185 7.64%
485 Aberdeen South SNP 14,993 Conservative 9,072 5,921 7.66%
486 Filton and Bradley Stoke Labour 17,637 Reform 11,696 5,941 7.66%
487 Macclesfield Labour 19,142 Conservative 13,405 5,737 7.66%
488 Coventry South Labour 15,713 Reform 9,867 5,846 7.67%
489 Mid Sussex Liberal Democrat 18,029 Conservative 12,199 5,830 7.67%
490 Honiton and Sidmouth Liberal Democrat 19,386 Conservative 13,578 5,808 7.69%
491 Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour 15,772 Reform 9,754 6,018 7.74%
492 Stockport Labour 16,590 Reform 10,657 5,933 7.74%
493 Bedford Labour 14,121 Reform 8,437 5,684 7.84%
494 Manchester Central Labour 15,268 Green 8,546 6,722 7.89%
495 Leeds South Labour 14,640 Green 8,574 6,066 7.99%
496 York Outer Labour 18,004 Conservative 11,891 6,113 8.02%
497 Leicester South Other 15,536 Labour 9,800 5,736 8.09%
498 Stratford-on-Avon Liberal Democrat 19,735 Conservative 13,578 6,157 8.13%
499 Aberdeen North SNP 14,419 Reform 8,202 6,217 8.19%
500 Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour 18,956 Green 12,522 6,434 8.22%
501 Holborn and St Pancras Labour 14,215 Other 8,305 5,910 8.29%
502 Brentford and Isleworth Labour 15,347 Conservative 8,678 6,669 8.40%
503 Edinburgh South Labour 14,529 SNP 8,519 6,010 8.48%
504 Swindon South Labour 16,787 Reform 10,598 6,189 8.53%
505 South Devon Liberal Democrat 19,004 Conservative 12,840 6,164 8.53%
506 Stirling and Strathallan SNP 15,763 Labour 9,064 6,699 8.78%
507 Rutland and Stamford Conservative 17,843 Reform 11,518 6,325 8.81%
508 Hackney North and Stoke Newington Labour 18,772 Green 11,802 6,970 8.96%
509 Bangor Aberconwy Plaid Cymru 17,447 Reform 11,100 6,347 9.00%
510 Manchester Withington Labour 16,895 Green 10,520 6,375 9.04%
511 Wirral West Labour 17,866 Conservative 11,278 6,588 9.04%
512 Enfield North Labour 16,435 Reform 9,310 7,125 9.05%
513 East Ham Labour 14,884 Other 7,670 7,214 9.11%
514 Upper Bann DUP 21,642 Sinn Fein 14,236 7,406 9.12%
515 Leyton and Wanstead Labour 15,671 Green 9,144 6,527 9.13%
516 Epping Forest Conservative 17,204 Labour 10,608 6,596 9.13%
517 Harrogate and Knaresborough Liberal Democrat 20,270 Conservative 13,147 7,123 9.14%
518 Cambridge Labour 16,748 Green 10,309 6,439 9.16%
519 Perth and Kinross-shire SNP 19,497 Conservative 12,418 7,079 9.16%
520 Carshalton and Wallington Liberal Democrat 17,034 Conservative 10,220 6,814 9.16%
521 Cheltenham Liberal Democrat 23,604 Conservative 16,617 6,987 9.18%
522 Tynemouth Labour 18,842 Reform 12,111 6,731 9.20%
523 Erith and Thamesmead Labour 17,145 Reform 9,886 7,259 9.22%
524 South Basildon and East Thurrock Reform 15,568 Labour 8,862 6,706 9.23%
525 Streatham and Croydon North Labour 17,912 Green 10,259 7,653 9.24%
526 Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge Conservative 19,097 Labour 12,463 6,634 9.27%
527 North Cornwall Liberal Democrat 20,178 Reform 13,039 7,139 9.30%
528 Chippenham Liberal Democrat 19,004 Conservative 12,002 7,002 9.45%
529 Tunbridge Wells Liberal Democrat 20,002 Conservative 12,507 7,495 9.52%
530 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour 13,986 Green 7,267 6,719 9.55%
531 Hertsmere Conservative 18,165 Reform 11,123 7,042 9.59%
532 Dewsbury and Batley Other 15,641 Reform 8,733 6,908 9.64%
533 Bristol North West Labour 18,376 Green 11,149 7,227 9.65%
534 Wokingham Liberal Democrat 21,827 Conservative 14,576 7,251 9.66%
535 Leeds North West Labour 17,679 Reform 10,752 6,927 9.68%
536 Stroud Labour 19,712 Conservative 12,161 7,551 9.69%
537 Cardiff West Plaid Cymru 18,327 Reform 10,987 7,340 9.70%
538 Lewisham North Labour 19,568 Green 12,356 7,212 9.72%
539 South Antrim UUP 16,311 DUP 8,799 7,512 9.75%
540 Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Plaid Cymru 13,175 Labour 6,330 6,845 9.76%
541 Yeovil Liberal Democrat 19,824 Reform 12,013 7,811 9.77%
542 Stretford and Urmston Labour 17,224 Reform 9,783 7,441 9.90%
543 Chester North and Neston Labour 17,189 Reform 10,219 6,970 9.93%
544 Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP 19,389 Conservative 11,775 7,614 9.93%
545 Taunton and Wellington Liberal Democrat 20,383 Reform 12,563 7,820 9.94%
546 West Dorset Liberal Democrat 25,528 Conservative 17,947 7,581 9.98%
547 North Down Other 21,030 Alliance 13,608 7,422 10.05%
548 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP 16,877 Reform 9,201 7,676 10.08%
549 Tottenham Labour 17,667 Green 9,973 7,694 10.14%
550 Ellesmere Port and Bromborough Labour 18,732 Reform 11,486 7,246 10.23%
551 Islington South and Finsbury Labour 17,583 Green 9,961 7,622 10.28%
552 Guildford Liberal Democrat 19,440 Conservative 12,149 7,291 10.32%
553 Reading Central Labour 16,603 Green 8,996 7,607 10.34%
554 Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour 16,701 Green 8,685 8,016 10.34%
555 East Grinstead and Uckfield Conservative 18,042 Liberal Democrat 10,244 7,798 10.34%
556 Boston and Skegness Reform 18,687 Conservative 10,837 7,850 10.35%
557 Widnes and Halewood Labour 18,237 Reform 10,935 7,302 10.41%
558 Richmond and Northallerton Conservative 19,376 Reform 11,658 7,718 10.45%
559 Ealing North Labour 15,832 Reform 8,001 7,831 10.47%
560 Doncaster North Labour 14,272 Conservative 6,941 7,331 10.51%
561 Peckham Labour 17,580 Green 9,917 7,663 10.62%
562 Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour 15,531 Green 7,414 8,117 10.74%
563 Hayes and Harlington Labour 15,882 Reform 7,856 8,026 10.79%
564 Hampstead and Highgate Labour 18,100 Green 9,428 8,672 10.84%
565 Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Conservative 18,220 Labour 10,581 7,639 10.93%
566 Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour 18,824 Reform 10,611 8,213 10.98%
567 Wallasey Labour 19,052 Reform 10,891 8,161 11.02%
568 Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP 15,817 Reform 7,908 7,909 11.02%
569 Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Labour 15,844 Reform 7,395 8,449 11.15%
570 Dundee Central SNP 16,932 Labour 8,544 8,388 11.30%
571 Warwick and Leamington Labour 18,582 Conservative 9,956 8,626 11.31%
572 Chichester Liberal Democrat 21,415 Reform 12,521 8,894 11.35%
573 Nottingham East Labour 14,913 Reform 6,990 7,923 11.42%
574 Great Yarmouth Reform 17,902 Labour 9,520 8,382 11.43%
575 Beckenham and Penge Labour 20,055 Conservative 11,115 8,940 11.58%
576 Battersea Labour 17,913 Conservative 9,477 8,436 11.58%
577 Ealing Central and Acton Labour 17,211 Green 8,120 9,091 11.59%
578 Liverpool Riverside Labour 15,438 Green 7,136 8,302 11.63%
579 Brent East Labour 14,972 Green 5,836 9,136 11.78%
580 South Cambridgeshire Liberal Democrat 21,832 Conservative 12,642 9,190 11.88%
581 Bath Liberal Democrat 16,680 Green 8,397 8,283 11.89%
582 Oxford East Labour 16,794 Green 8,153 8,641 12.03%
583 Wells and Mendip Hills Liberal Democrat 19,751 Reform 11,085 8,666 12.03%
584 Walthamstow Labour 20,856 Green 11,886 8,970 12.04%
585 Putney Labour 18,864 Conservative 10,104 8,760 12.05%
586 South Down Sinn Fein 19,698 SDLP 10,418 9,280 12.17%
587 Liverpool Wavertree Labour 17,702 Green 9,074 8,628 12.22%
588 Dulwich and West Norwood Labour 21,269 Green 11,380 9,889 12.38%
589 Sheffield Heeley Labour 18,336 Green 9,143 9,193 12.52%
590 Southgate and Wood Green Labour 18,055 Green 8,219 9,836 12.68%
591 York Central Labour 19,008 Reform 8,913 10,095 12.69%
592 North Shropshire Liberal Democrat 22,016 Reform 12,161 9,855 12.70%
593 Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour 18,894 Green 8,329 10,565 12.71%
594 Harpenden and Berkhamsted Liberal Democrat 23,213 Conservative 13,934 9,279 12.84%
595 Croydon West Labour 16,093 Green 6,042 10,051 12.90%
596 Knowsley Labour 18,914 Reform 9,591 9,323 12.96%
597 Woking Liberal Democrat 20,369 Conservative 10,703 9,666 13.25%
598 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Liberal Democrat 20,547 SNP 10,635 9,912 13.28%
599 Mid Dunbartonshire Liberal Democrat 21,531 SNP 11,722 9,809 13.33%
600 Leeds North East Labour 17,857 Green 8,449 9,408 13.41%
601 Lewisham West and East Dulwich Labour 21,200 Green 11,841 9,359 13.49%
602 Eastbourne Liberal Democrat 19,983 Reform 10,179 9,804 13.51%
603 Ealing Southall Labour 17,618 Reform 6,898 10,720 13.63%
604 Sheffield South East Labour 16,327 Conservative 6,061 10,266 13.84%
605 Cheadle Liberal Democrat 20,174 Reform 9,818 10,356 13.92%
606 Waveney Valley Green 21,759 Conservative 11,565 10,194 13.95%
607 Esher and Walton Liberal Democrat 24,038 Conservative 13,684 10,354 13.98%
608 Sefton Central Labour 20,892 Reform 10,469 10,423 14.03%
609 Lewisham East Labour 18,324 Green 7,942 10,382 14.15%
610 Lewes Liberal Democrat 22,693 Conservative 11,898 10,795 14.17%
611 Hove and Portslade Labour 20,842 Green 10,340 10,502 14.18%
612 Mitcham and Morden Labour 19,484 Reform 8,493 10,991 14.22%
613 Blackburn Other 18,078 Reform 7,574 10,504 14.34%
614 Greenwich and Woolwich Labour 18,613 Green 8,118 10,495 14.36%
615 Wimbledon Liberal Democrat 21,377 Conservative 10,378 10,999 14.41%
616 St Ives Liberal Democrat 20,990 Reform 10,798 10,192 14.56%
617 North Herefordshire Green 22,912 Conservative 12,256 10,656 14.64%
618 Harrow East Conservative 21,850 Labour 10,647 11,203 14.64%
619 Hammersmith and Chiswick Labour 18,769 Conservative 7,608 11,161 14.71%
620 Winchester Liberal Democrat 25,318 Conservative 13,467 11,851 15.14%
621 Liverpool Garston Labour 18,994 Reform 8,463 10,531 15.20%
622 Caerfyrddin Plaid Cymru 22,799 Reform 11,529 11,270 15.23%
623 Liverpool Walton Labour 20,446 Reform 9,585 10,861 15.67%
624 Liverpool West Derby Labour 19,764 Reform 8,670 11,094 15.86%
625 Kingston and Surbiton Liberal Democrat 21,829 Reform 9,348 12,481 16.14%
626 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrat 19,800 Reform 8,319 11,481 16.44%
627 Ashfield Reform 19,582 Labour 8,105 11,477 16.65%
628 Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP 21,345 Alliance 8,839 12,506 16.73%
629 Bootle Labour 20,951 Reform 8,638 12,313 16.86%
630 Islington North Other 24,152 Labour 11,713 12,439 17.07%
631 Belfast West Sinn Fein 21,009 Other 8,123 12,886 17.10%
632 Hornsey and Friern Barnet Labour 22,291 Green 9,997 12,294 17.59%
633 Ynys Mon Plaid Cymru 16,377 Reform 6,877 9,500 17.88%
634 North East Fife Liberal Democrat 21,320 SNP 8,682 12,638 18.12%
635 Clacton Reform 24,392 Conservative 10,130 14,262 18.23%
636 Tooting Labour 22,879 Green 8,764 14,115 18.53%
637 Richmond Park Liberal Democrat 24,270 Conservative 9,561 14,709 19.62%
638 Newry and Armagh Sinn Fein 22,299 SDLP 6,806 15,493 19.80%
639 Mid Ulster Sinn Fein 24,085 DUP 9,162 14,923 20.17%
640 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrat 10,246 Reform 3,270 6,976 20.38%
641 Edinburgh West Liberal Democrat 24,949 SNP 9,156 15,793 20.65%
642 West Tyrone Sinn Fein 22,711 DUP 6,794 15,917 21.43%
643 St Albans Liberal Democrat 24,744 Reform 9,002 15,742 21.64%
644 Twickenham Liberal Democrat 25,623 Reform 8,952 16,671 22.23%
645 Ceredigion Preseli Plaid Cymru 26,485 Reform 9,412 17,073 22.56%
646 Dwyfor Meirionnydd Plaid Cymru 25,294 Reform 8,288 17,006 23.28%
647 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrat 26,259 Reform 9,323 16,936 23.51%
648 Bristol Central Green 25,737 Labour 10,030 15,707 25.04%
649 Brighton Pavilion Green 30,077 Labour 10,234 19,843 26.53%
650 Chorley Other 29,301 Green 4,663 24,638 32.94%

See also: Electoral Analysis