Cardiff South and Penarth Constituency 2026

Electorate: 73,060

Stephen Doughty is the MP for Cardiff South and Penarth. Check out Stephen Doughty's Record on Climate.

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the latest opinion polls, VoteClimate estimates that if a general election happened today, the result in Cardiff South and Penarth would be as follows.

This constituency projection is based on the following national vote shares (Wales): Plaid Cymru: 35.4% | Reform: 29.3% | Labour: 11.1% | Conservative: 10.7% | Green: 6.7% | Liberal Democrat: 4.5%

[Last updated: September 2026]

For our full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

What Happened at the July 2024 General Election?