Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Constituency 2026

Electorate: 70,340

Elaine Stewart is the MP for Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock. Check out Elaine Stewart's Record on Climate.

What Might Happen at the Next General Election?

Based on the latest opinion polls, VoteClimate estimates that if a general election happened today, the result in Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock would be as follows.

This constituency projection is based on the following national vote shares (SC): SNP: 29% | Labour: 18% | Reform: 17% | Conservative: 10% | Liberal Democrat: 10% | Green: 10%

[Last updated: September 2026]

For our full forecast of the next general election, please see our Electoral Analysis.

What Happened at the July 2024 General Election?