VoteClimate's Forecast For The Next General Election

Based on the current opinion polls, we project that if a general election were held today the results would be as follows.

Labour: 89 seats short of a majority
Reform: 187 seats short of a majority

Predicted vote shares (GB): Labour: 25.4% | Reform: 23.3% | Conservative: 19.9% | Green: 11.7% | Liberal Democrat: 10.4%

[Last updated: September 2026]

Here is the predicted result in each constituency:

(Tap or click on a hexagon to see which seat it is)

See also: Electoral Analysis