Green Party Most Marginal Local Elections - 1 May 2025

At the top of the table, you can see the places where the Green Party is predicted to achieve a slender majority on 1 May 2025. Further down the table, we show the places where other parties will likely have slender majorities and the Green Party has the greatest opportunity to overtake them. If we can galvanise even small numbers of votes in these places we could swing the outcome in favour of climate. Do you know anyone who lives in these areas? If so, please share our voting recommendations.

Forecast vote shares (GB): Conservative: 25% | Reform: 25% | Labour: 18% | Liberal Democrat: 17% | Green: 7%

[Last updated: April 2025]

Location Expected Winner Green Votes Majority / Votes Required
Recent Elections in Stroud Central Green 244 244 41 5.0%
Recent Elections in Penryn Green 426 426 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Brandon Green 911 911 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Broadclyst Green 1,613 1,613 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Totnes & Dartington Green 2,156 2,156 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Minchinhampton Green 2,178 2,178 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Sedbury Green 1,513 1,513 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Hertford All Saints Green 1,536 1,536 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Ware North Green 980 980 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Ashford East Green 1,571 1,571 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Hythe West Green 1,538 1,538 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Swale East Green 2,324 2,324 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Tonbridge Green 4,697 4,697 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Burnley Central West Green 850 850 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Lancaster Central Green 1,967 1,967 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Syston Ridgeway Green 903 903 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Humshaugh Green 945 945 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Newark East Green 776 776 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Shrivenham Green 1,167 1,167 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Wallingford Green 1,564 1,564 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Oswestry South Green 501 501 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Porthill Green 807 807 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Radbrook Green 770 770 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in St Oswald Green 365 365 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Kenilworth Park Hill Green 1,664 1,664 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Leamington Brunswick Green 1,161 1,161 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Leamington Willes Green 1,332 1,332 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Shipston Green 968 968 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Weddington Green 1,356 1,356 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Croome Green 1,514 1,514 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in Malvern Trinity Green 1,203 1,203 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in St Peter Green 1,636 1,636 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in St Stephen Green 1,514 1,514 0 0.0%
Recent Elections in St David's & Haven Banks Labour 1,280 1,225 55 0.7%
Recent Elections in Ramsgate Reform 2,315 2,180 135 0.8%
Recent Elections in Tiverton West Conservative 941 868 73 0.8%
Recent Elections in Tetbury Conservative 988 916 72 1.0%
Recent Elections in Lancaster East Labour 1,419 1,334 85 1.1%
Recent Elections in Warwick South Reform 831 758 73 1.1%
Recent Elections in Ilfracombe Conservative 824 762 62 1.1%
Recent Elections in Evesham South Reform 620 557 63 1.2%
Recent Elections in Sevenoaks Rural North East Conservative 1,433 1,304 129 1.3%
Recent Elections in Burnley Rural Reform 991 844 147 1.9%
Recent Elections in Abbey Labour 843 738 105 1.9%
Recent Elections in Syston Fosse Conservative 1,072 930 142 2.3%
Recent Elections in Kingsthorpe North Reform 1,092 882 210 2.8%
Recent Elections in Stonehouse Reform 730 571 159 2.8%
Recent Elections in Hatherleigh & Chagford Conservative 1,313 1,025 288 3.3%
Recent Elections in Sprotbrough Reform 870 647 223 3.4%
Recent Elections in Hitchin Rural Conservative 1,171 869 302 3.5%
Recent Elections in Earls Barton Reform 1,418 1,007 411 3.6%
Recent Elections in Stroud Central Labour 1,746 1,376 370 3.7%
Recent Elections in Nuneaton East Conservative 1,039 769 270 3.9%
Recent Elections in Ivinghoe Reform 1,012 696 316 3.9%
Recent Elections in West of England Combined Authority Labour 65,700 45,701 19,999 4.0%
Recent Elections in Corvedale Conservative 426 308 118 4.1%
Recent Elections in Nene Valley Reform 1,021 677 344 4.1%
Recent Elections in Rodborough Labour 1,242 871 371 4.6%
Recent Elections in Lapworth & West Kenilworth Conservative 777 523 254 4.8%
Recent Elections in Long Buckby Conservative 1,248 761 487 5.0%
Recent Elections in Deal & Walmer Reform 2,315 1,408 907 5.1%
Recent Elections in Ise Conservative 1,035 600 435 5.5%
Recent Elections in Grantham South Labour 511 266 245 5.7%
Recent Elections in Uttoxeter Town Reform 717 461 256 5.7%
Recent Elections in Bessacarr Labour 1,294 774 520 5.7%
Recent Elections in Yelverton Rural Reform 1,212 627 585 5.9%
Recent Elections in Market Harborough West & Foxton Liberal Democrat 999 522 477 6.2%
Recent Elections in West Bridgford North Labour 1,758 1,119 639 6.2%
Recent Elections in Salisbury Harnham East Reform 429 208 221 6.2%
Recent Elections in Breaston Conservative 1,310 759 551 6.3%
Recent Elections in Dover North Conservative 1,206 679 527 6.4%
Recent Elections in Chulmleigh & Landkey Conservative 798 377 421 6.5%
Recent Elections in Broadstairs Conservative 1,518 821 697 6.5%
Recent Elections in Tunbridge Wells Rural Conservative 1,422 685 737 6.7%
Recent Elections in Morpeth North Conservative 573 279 294 6.8%
Recent Elections in Exmouth Reform 2,445 974 1,471 6.9%
Recent Elections in Finningley Conservative 1,375 703 672 6.9%
Recent Elections in Dover Town Reform 1,740 799 941 6.9%
Recent Elections in Rushden South Conservative 1,044 510 534 7.0%
Recent Elections in Mitcheldean Other 795 312 483 7.0%
Recent Elections in Melton West Conservative 687 308 379 7.1%
Recent Elections in Wearside & Topsham Conservative 1,298 606 692 7.2%
Recent Elections in Riverside Conservative 917 446 471 7.2%
Recent Elections in Baldock & Letchworth East Reform 1,091 453 638 7.3%
Recent Elections in Bishops Stortford West Reform 976 396 580 7.4%
Recent Elections in Okehampton Rural Reform 1,096 471 625 7.5%
Recent Elections in Bingham East Reform 930 485 445 7.5%
Recent Elections in Aylesbury South East Liberal Democrat 943 425 518 7.6%
Recent Elections in St Neots Priory Park & Little Paxton Liberal Democrat 706 304 402 7.6%
Recent Elections in Banbury Calthorpe Labour 744 328 416 7.6%
Recent Elections in Oundle Liberal Democrat 1,684 736 948 7.6%
Recent Elections in Birchington & Rural Reform 2,461 1,269 1,192 7.6%
Recent Elections in Lichfield City South Conservative 1,059 448 611 7.7%
Recent Elections in Marlow Reform 1,263 487 776 7.7%
Recent Elections in Perranporth Reform 402 134 268 7.8%
Recent Elections in Campden-Vale Reform 1,168 589 579 7.8%
Recent Elections in Much Wenlock Conservative 439 198 241 7.8%
Recent Elections in Ware South Conservative 1,102 531 571 7.9%
Recent Elections in St Ives North & Wyton Conservative 686 300 386 7.9%
Recent Elections in Whitstable East & Herne Bay West Conservative 1,528 732 796 7.9%
Recent Elections in Tunbridge Wells East Conservative 1,458 562 896 8.0%
Recent Elections in Irthlingborough Reform 1,178 521 657 8.0%
Recent Elections in Devizes North Reform 364 154 210 8.0%
Recent Elections in The Lavingtons Conservative 567 315 252 8.0%
Recent Elections in Norton & Askern Labour 1,013 435 578 8.1%
Recent Elections in West Bridgford South Conservative 1,268 521 747 8.2%
Recent Elections in Ashby de la Zouch Conservative 1,101 459 642 8.3%
Recent Elections in Leake & Ruddington Labour 1,994 715 1,279 8.3%
Recent Elections in Willand & Uffculme Conservative 1,143 486 657 8.3%
Recent Elections in Duryard & Pennsylvania Labour 957 362 595 8.4%
Recent Elections in Ashford Rural East Conservative 1,622 779 843 8.4%
Recent Elections in Heavitree & Whipton Barton Labour 1,540 811 729 8.4%
Recent Elections in Tiverton East Conservative 790 216 574 8.5%
Recent Elections in Lancaster South East Labour 1,462 806 656 8.5%
Recent Elections in Salisbury Fisherton & Bemerton Village Labour 494 230 264 8.5%
Recent Elections in Roman Ridge Labour 847 435 412 8.5%
Recent Elections in Salisbury St Paul's Liberal Democrat 431 187 244 8.5%
Recent Elections in Market Liberal Democrat 731 334 397 8.6%
Recent Elections in Salisbury St Francis & Stratford Reform 629 291 338 8.6%
Recent Elections in Bicester North Conservative 747 313 434 8.6%
Recent Elections in Stapleford & Broxtowe Central Other 1,978 519 1,459 8.6%
Recent Elections in Finedon Labour 1,074 444 630 8.6%
Recent Elections in Moulton Conservative 1,370 611 759 8.7%
Recent Elections in St Neots East & Gransden Reform 367 156 211 8.7%
Recent Elections in Tunbridge Wells West Liberal Democrat 1,902 773 1,129 8.8%
Recent Elections in Thrapston Other 1,712 591 1,121 8.8%
Recent Elections in Salisbury Milford Liberal Democrat 510 200 310 8.8%
Recent Elections in Harvington Conservative 1,026 476 550 8.8%
Recent Elections in Coleford Other 633 164 469 8.9%
Recent Elections in Bideford East Conservative 795 325 470 8.9%
Recent Elections in Glenfields, Kirby Muxloe & Leicester Forests Conservative 1,601 666 935 9.0%
Recent Elections in St Ives South & Needingworth Liberal Democrat 798 263 535 9.0%
Recent Elections in Cullompton & Bradninch Conservative 1,023 398 625 9.0%
Recent Elections in Woodditton Conservative 902 311 591 9.0%
Recent Elections in Bideford West & Hartland Reform 578 235 343 9.0%
Recent Elections in Lydney Conservative 853 378 475 9.0%
Recent Elections in Old Sarum & Lower Bourne Valley Labour 419 137 282 9.0%
Recent Elections in Lancaster Rural East Liberal Democrat 1,134 325 809 9.0%
Recent Elections in Herne Bay East Conservative 1,334 577 757 9.0%
Recent Elections in Tunbridge Wells North Labour 1,556 517 1,039 9.1%
Recent Elections in Irchester Conservative 1,150 345 805 9.2%
Recent Elections in Pewsey Vale East Conservative 560 239 321 9.2%
Recent Elections in Buntingford Conservative 1,379 653 726 9.2%
Recent Elections in Maidstone Central Liberal Democrat 2,922 1,156 1,766 9.2%
Recent Elections in Camp Hill Conservative 472 155 317 9.2%
Recent Elections in Kingsthorpe South Liberal Democrat 981 368 613 9.3%
Recent Elections in Maidstone Rural South Reform 1,155 459 696 9.3%
Recent Elections in Papworth & Swavesey Reform 760 190 570 9.4%
Recent Elections in Devizes East Conservative 426 139 287 9.4%
Recent Elections in Castle Liberal Democrat 1,034 415 619 9.4%
Recent Elections in Alderbury & Whiteparish Conservative 682 301 381 9.4%
Recent Elections in Huntingdon North & Hartford Liberal Democrat 652 168 484 9.5%
Recent Elections in Aylesbury East Liberal Democrat 1,109 421 688 9.5%
Recent Elections in Ashford Central Conservative 1,221 490 731 9.5%
Recent Elections in Mansfield West Reform 1,073 300 773 9.5%
Recent Elections in Castle Donington & Kegworth Conservative 833 203 630 9.6%
Recent Elections in Armthorpe Labour 930 386 544 9.6%
Recent Elections in Preston North Conservative 1,174 302 872 9.6%
Recent Elections in Bewdley Conservative 748 303 445 9.6%
Recent Elections in Codsall Conservative 1,138 504 634 9.6%
Recent Elections in London Colney Liberal Democrat 833 223 610 9.6%
Recent Elections in Loughborough South West Reform 1,105 322 783 9.6%
Recent Elections in Toton, Chilwell & Attenborough Labour 2,922 1,109 1,813 9.6%
Recent Elections in Desborough Reform 1,226 386 840 9.7%
Recent Elections in Harpenden South West Conservative 1,616 578 1,038 9.7%
Recent Elections in Melksham Without West & Rural Conservative 533 233 300 9.7%
Recent Elections in Braunton Rural Liberal Democrat 1,060 384 676 9.7%
Recent Elections in Truro Moresk & Trehaverne Other 617 199 418 9.7%
Recent Elections in Budbrooke & Bishop's Tachbrook Conservative 1,245 467 778 9.7%
Recent Elections in Wadebridge East & St Minver Liberal Democrat 750 318 432 9.8%
Recent Elections in Hatfield East Liberal Democrat 725 180 545 9.8%
Recent Elections in Bovey Rural Conservative 1,064 323 741 9.8%
Recent Elections in Canterbury North Conservative 1,342 458 884 9.8%
Recent Elections in Winslow Liberal Democrat 1,324 545 779 9.8%
Recent Elections in Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth Liberal Democrat 631 242 389 9.8%
Recent Elections in Exmouth & Budleigh Salterton Coastal Conservative 1,243 436 807 9.8%
Recent Elections in Letchworth South Reform 1,264 338 926 9.8%
Recent Elections in Nadder Valley Conservative 601 285 316 9.8%
Recent Elections in Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Combined Authority Liberal Democrat 60,729 14,822 45,907 9.9%
Recent Elections in Burwell Conservative 794 198 596 9.9%

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