Climate Super-Marginals per Council - 7 May 2026

Here are the councils with the most “super-marginal” seats – contests where a pro-climate party (Green or Lib Dem) is within 50 votes of winning or holding the seat. Tactical voting in these seats could have the greatest impact for the climate on 7 May 2026.

Forecast vote shares (GB): Reform: 26.5% | Labour: 18.6% | Conservative: 18.5% | Green: 16.2% | Liberal Democrat: 12%

[Last updated: April 2026]

Council Super-Marginal Seats
Hounslow 9
Croydon 8
West Sussex 7
Enfield 7
Isle Of Wight 6
Newham 5
Barnet 5
Wandsworth 5
Hammersmith And Fulham 5
Ealing 5
Brent 5
East Sussex 5
Suffolk 5
Manchester 5
Greenwich 5
Norfolk 4
North Tyneside 4
Harrow 4
Tower Hamlets 4
Southwark 3
St Albans 3
Norwich 3
Westminster 3
Oxford 3
Tameside 3
Huntingdonshire 3
Newcastle Upon Tyne 3
Barking And Dagenham 2
Islington 2
Redbridge 2
Kingston Upon Hull 2
Birmingham 2
Stevenage 2
Haringey 2
Lambeth 2
Wokingham 2
Cambridge 2
Merton 2
Fareham 2
Solihull 2
Preston 2
Reading 2
Colchester 1
Wakefield 1
Halton 1
Richmond Upon Thames 1
Barnsley 1
Kingston Upon Thames 1
St Helens 1
North East Lincolnshire 1
West Oxfordshire 1
Hampshire 1
Rochdale 1
Kirklees 1
East Hertfordshire 1
Rochford 1
Stockport 1
Rother 1
Brentwood 1
Leeds 1
Nuneaton And Bedworth 1
Havering 1
Rugby 1
Bromley 1
Lewisham 1
Sunderland 1
Epping Forest 1
Salford 1
Essex 1
Peterborough 1
Sheffield 1
Camden 1
Three Rivers 1
Powys 1
Hyndburn 1
Chelmsford 1
Milton Keynes 1
Gosport 1
Adur 1
South Cambridgeshire 1
Cheltenham 1
Trafford 1

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